Lessons From The 2012 Election.

Not surprisingly, election results were the topic this week on Democratic Perspective. As with most elections, there was good news and bad news.

The good news was President Obama’s overwhelming win with 302 electoral votes. The bad news was that Dr. Richard Carmona apparently lost his bid to become a US Senator.

The good news was that Democrats won 5 of Arizona’s Congressional Districts. The bad news was that all three Democratic candidates for the Corporation Commission lost.

The good news was that Democrats broke the super majority in the Arizona State Legislature. The bad news was that all three of our LD-6 candidates (Ballard, Chabin and LeFevre) lost. Even worse news was that Sheriff Joe Arpaio was re-elected in Maricopa County! And the worst news of all was that, a week after the election, tens of thousands of votes still had not been counted in Arizona revealing an apparently dysfunctional electoral system.

Looking at the pre-election polls, it was obvious that the most accurate predictor of the election was Nate Silver’s 538 Blog. He not only predicted the outcome of the presidential race. He predicted the number of electoral votes. He even called every US Senate race with the single exception of North Dakota’s.

The Republican pollsters all got it wrong, including the right-leaning Rasmussen Poll; even the famed Gallup Poll.

The lessons from the election were many: Women, Latinos and African-Americans voted overwhelmingly for President Obama and Democratic candidates. The Democratic ground game is both more committed and sophisiticated than the Republicans’. And Republican voter suppression efforts backfired. In Florida and Ohio, voters (especially minorities) stood in line for up to 8 hours to vote.

In Arizona, it was clear that despite months of canvassing and calling, people ignored issues and voted along party lines. A great example was the sovereignty proposition. Voters overwhelmingly rejected the measure, yet they elected the proposition’s author, Chester Crandall. Also, in LD-6, voters elected the legislator who proposed turning northern Arizona into a nuclear waste dump.

The only possible conclusion is that, in rural northern Arizona, especially in the Verde Valley, voters give little consideration to anything except party affiliation.

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Elections 2012: The Good, The Bad, and The Inevitable — Podcast November 12, 2012


The Vote in 2012: Reviewing the Outcome. Democratic Perspective looks at the results of the 2012 elections. What did they tell us about the current and future state of the electorate in the United States? Whose polls most accurately predicted the outcome? Are the demographic changes reflected in President Obama’s re-election real? Did the Citizens United Supreme Court decision have as much effect on the outcome of Congressional and state races as pundits predicted? Is Arizona out of step with the rest of the country? Co-hosts Mike Cosentino and Steve Williamson, along with Gary LaMaster, Dick Searle, and Bill Timberman take on all of these questions and more.

Posted in Arizona Politics, Campaign Finance, Citizens United, Elections, Government, Media Campaigns, National Politics, Podcasts, Polling | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Elections 2012: The Good, The Bad, and The Inevitable — Podcast November 12, 2012

Politics, Politics — Podcast November 5, 2012


Politics, Politics: Election Eve Thoughts. With Mike Cosentino taking the day-before-election-day off, host Steve Williamson and the rest of the Democratic Perspective editorial crew,  Gary LaMaster, Dick Searle, and Bill Timberman discuss the pros, the cons, the possibilities, the probabilities, and the likely consequences of this Tuesday’s elections.

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Arizona’s Solar Team: “Watchdogs. Not Lap Dogs.”

Arizona’s Corporation Commissioners are some of the most powerful executives in the state. To learn more about the candidates for the commission, Democratic Perspective hosted first-time candidate Marcia Busching and incumbent Paul Newman. Along with incumbent Sandra Kennedy, they are running as the Solar Team.

Most people know that the commission regulates utilities, but we began our interview by asking what the commission does. Busching responded by saying, “One of the obligations of the Corporation Commission is to help investors who have been defrauded when they’ve purchased securities. We help collect their money back. In 2011, the Corporation Commission collected nearly $28 million for investors.”

Asked why she and the other members of the Solar Team have chosen to run for the office, Busching replied, “First, we want oversight…to be a utility watchdog, not a lap dog…to make sure we have reasonable utility rates. Second, we want Arizona to become a leader in renewable energy and to achieve energy independence. And third, we really want to encourage a job creating business environment with more solar jobs. We have 27 solar manufacturers in this state, and we really want to have more.”

The Solar Team is running a very competitive campaign despite the fact that their Republican opponents were found in violation of election laws by the Clean Elections Commission for spending $250,000 to attack the Democratic candidates before the primaries. They were fined $29,000 as a result of their actions.

That issue aside, Busching said, “The biggest difference between the Solar Team and the opposition is that we really see a bright future for Arizona. We see the Corporation Commission as a job creator; seeing the ability to be a leader in solar; seeing the opportunity to have energy independence; and, at the same time, making sure that we keep people’s rates reasonable and responsible. The other side has been absolutely chipping away at the renewable energy standards that were set five years ago. They have reduced rebates. They want to make sure that every coal-fired plant that we have in this state can continue to operate.”

In comparing the various sources of energy, Busching reported, “According to the APS resource report, which came out in April of this year, the installed cost of kilowatt hour of nuclear is $6,000. Coal is $3,500. Solar and wind are $2,500. And natural gas is $1,000. If you compare apples to apples, solar and wind are much less expensive than coal or nuclear.”

Busching continued, “The delivered costs including capital, fuel, operation and maintenance, fuel efficiency, capacity and transmission costs, nuclear comes in at $160 per megawatt hour, coal at $150, and solar and gas are just about equal at $100 per megawatt hour.”

Paul Newman added, “The study suggests that Arizona should be investing in renewable energy, both solar and wind. This is not only an environmental issue. It’s an economic issue.”

Asked about the commission’s 30% cut in rebates for solar, Newman replied, “Republicans have been cutting back on rebates. They’ve been cutting back on efficiency. And they’ve been cutting back on our power. They’re in a regulator role, but they don’t believe in government. We need to get back to a bi-partisan commission and, hopefully, we can do that.”

With regard to the experience of running for office, Busching said, “No regrets, the campaign has been a wonderful experience.”

“I echo Marcia’s words,” said Newman. “This is a very, very critical election. It’s a tipping point, that’s for sure. It’s going to be a close election. We can’t predict what will happen. But I think that we’ve gotten our message out…to bring jobs to Arizona, to bring energy independence, and to be a consumer watchdog.”

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Marcia Busching and Paul Newman Interview — Podcast October 29, 2012


The Arizona Solar Team 2012: Democratic Candidates for the Arizona Corporation Commission. Democratic Perspective co-hosts Mike Cosentino and Gary LaMaster interview Democratic candidates for the Arizona Corporation Commission,  Marcia Busching and incumbent Commissioner Paul Newman. Together with Sandra Kennedy — also an incumbent Commissioner — they are  running for the Commission as The Arizona Solar Team 2012. Marcia and Paul explain why solar power, which is now cost competitive with nuclear and non-renewable energy sources, is the right choice for future energy development in Arizona, and why the Republican members of the Commission have done everything they can to stall its development.

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Dr. Richard Carmona – A Lifetime Of Selfless Service.

Democratic Perspective was privileged to host Dr. Richard Carmona, Democratic candidate for US Senate.

His life story is one that should serve as inspiration to all Americans. Carmona was born to Puerto Rican immigrants in New York. As his parents struggled with alcohol and drug abuse, his family was homeless for a time. He dropped out of high school at age 16 and enlisted in the US Army. Serving as a combat medic with the Special Forces in Vietnam, he was decorated with two purple hearts and two bronze stars. Following his military service, he attended college earning his M.D. as a trauma surgeon.

Dr. Carmona’s resume includes service as a Deputy Sheriff before being named the seventeenth Surgeon General of the United States by President George W. Bush. He currently serves at the University of Arizona’s Trauma Care Center and as a SWAT team medic for the Pima County Sheriff’s Office.

Following are some highlights of the interview.

On the tone of the campaign:

“In my lifetime, I’ve faced adversity of many kinds, whether it was in combat being shot at or whether it was as a SWAT officer or doing rescue, but this may be one of the most hostile environments I’m ever going to be in.”

On why he decided to run for office:

“The reason I did it was for the right reasons. A lot of my friends; the cops; the firemen; the docs I work with started saying in conversations, gee, there’s a seat opening up, Senator Kyl is going to retire. You ought to run. My first answer was that I am running. I’m running as far away from Washington as I can. And then I gave it lots of thought over the next few months…and realized it was the right thing to do because the system is broken and we really need to start sending some reasonable people to D.C. to solve these problems.”

On his opponent, Jeff Flake:

“Getting to know him in debates and looking at his stance on a number of issues, like many people, I’m very concerned…where he is on senior issues, on women’s issues…the fact that he was a co-sponsor with Congressman Akin defining legitimate rape. These are really outrageous, ideologically-driven positions that don’t benefit any population.”

On Representative Flake voting against veteran’s benefits:

“Of course, he’s told me that I just don’t understand how Washington works. Well, Congressman, you may be the only one in the United States who thinks Washington works, because it’s not working…the Iraqi Veterans Association recently gave you a failing grade. In fact, other veteran’s organizations have failed you for your lack of support.”

On creating jobs:

“Most important, we have to start to look at the uncertainty in the business environment. One of the ways to do that is we need comprehensive tax reform. The system is broken. People don’t understand, every six months or year, Congress is taking actions to put a bandaid on a broken system. We’re at this fiscal cliff now, and they’re on vacation!”

On senior’s issues:

“These are earned benefits. Not entitlements. They’re part of the contract the government has with its workforce in a civil society that values its workforce. It shouldn’t privatize or voucherize, asking seniors to trust the infrastructure that has failed them.”

On women’s Health:

“The last thing you want to do is to place a barrier between a patient and doctor. Flake co-sponsored a bill defining legitimate rape.”

On the political attacks against him and his decision to run as a Democrat:

“Not too long ago, I was the Republicans’ favorite child, being recruited to run for office. But on the big issues of the day, the Democratic Party is the best fit.”

On his reason for running:

“This is about selfless service. About me having the privilege to serve you.”

Posted in Arizona Politics, Government, Interviews, Jobs and Employment, Medicare, National Politics, Social Security, Veterans' Issues, Women's Issues | Tagged , | Comments Off on Dr. Richard Carmona – A Lifetime Of Selfless Service.

Richard Carmona Interview — Podcast October 22, 2012


The Meaning of Public Service: Dr. Richard Carmona Discusses His Candidacy for the U.S. Senate in Arizona. Democratic Perspective co-hosts Mike Cosentino and Steve Williamson interview Dr. Richard Carmona, Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate from Arizona. Dr. Carmona is a decorated Vietnam veteran, and has served as a Deputy Sheriff of Pima County, Professor of Medicine at the University of Arizona, and Surgeon General of the United States under President George W. Bush. Dr, Carmona talks about how he got where he is today, why he decided to run for the Senate, and the important role science should play in the making of public policy. In his discussions of the issues — job creation, women’s and seniors’ health care and income security, and our debt to our combat veterans — Dr. Carmona stresses the importance of bi-partisan problem solving, and the true meaning of public service.

Posted in Arizona Law Enforcement, Arizona Politics, Deficit Reduction, Government, Health Care, Immigration, Interviews, Jobs and Employment, Law Enforcement, Medicare, National Politics, Podcasts, Social Security, Taxes and the Deficit, Unemployment, Women's Issues | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Richard Carmona Interview — Podcast October 22, 2012

Focus On Education.

This week, Democratic Perspective hosted a legislator who makes decisions on education and a school board member who has to live with those decisions. The legislator is Representative Tom Chabin who is running for election to the Arizona Senate. He has been a crusader for education and tax reform. The school board member is Jim Lebetter, attorney and President of the Mingus Union High School Board of Directors.

We began by asking Chabin why the legislature has made such severe cuts to education. “This legislature has clearly forgotten that there’s a partnership between the local school board and the Arizona legislature,” he replied. “In the last four years, $3 billion has been cut from education in Arizona, and most of that is in the K-12 system. Those cuts have been profound and, as I put it, it has hurt every teacher and every child in every classroom throughout the state.”

Ledbetter added, “Where we are right now in funding, in terms of dollars spent per student and funded by the Arizona Legislature, we’re 51st in the nation, if you put the District of Columbia in the calculation. Now we have surpassed Mississippi in a race to the bottom.”

“This legislature recently said they’re not going to be cutting the per capita student funding,” he continued. “That’s a true statement. But they virtually cut 70 percent of what’s called soft capital funding. It means you can’t buy textbooks anymore for your students. Soft capital is desks. Soft capital is the white board that teachers use to write on. All of the state funding has been cut back such that it’s local taxing authority and property tax revenue that runs one hundred percent of the district.”

When asked what it’s like to try to hire teachers, Ledbetter responded, “As a teacher retires, or as a teacher leaves the district, we haven’t been replacing that position. So what does that mean in terms of students? It means that class sizes get too big. Teacher salaries are not enough. Our public sector employees in Arizona are not treated as they should be. A teacher who starts in a neighboring district with a family of four is eligible for food stamps.”

Asked what the legislature can do to help the situation, Chabin stated, “One is to accept responsibility and accept partnership the partnership we have with local school boards. I was at a meeting the other day with…community colleges in Prescott. And I asked a rhetorical question. Has the legislature been your partner? And when I asked that question there was dead silence.”

“The truth is the legislature has not been the partner it has been in the past,” he continued. “There’s a great deal of discussion all the time about accountability…holding the teachers and holding the school boards accountable…and I’m all for that. But what about holding the legislature accountable?”

“The backbone of my public service is centered on tax reform and applying new revenue that could be realized for education to achieve attainable goals,” said Chabin. “We have $11 billion in exemptions and loopholes in our sales tax code alone. I want to achieve three goals: The first is to lower the overall tax rate, so as an example when you buy a car you pay a sales tax, but when you buy a golf cart you don’t. Now that’s silly. So we eliminate the loophole on golf carts, but it goes to lower the overall rate. The second goal is to reduce classroom sizes to no more than 25. Anytime the classroom reaches 25 kids, it shall be split. That’s a tool Mingus school district needs. And it relieves the local property tax burden. Part of our challenge in Arizona is higher education. Four years ago, our kids were paying $1,500 a semester to go to NAU. Now it is over $4,000 and they are carrying debt that they will not be able to repay.”

Chabin added, “Per capita spending every man, woman and child in Arizona pay $371 a year for our corrections system. We’re number one in the nation. So here, on per capita spending for prisons, we’re number one. But when it comes to per pupil spending in Arizona, we’re dead last.”

As for solutions, Chabin said, “The opportunity for voters is this. If I’m elected and two other Democrats are elected, we will split the Senate. The opportunity is to bring moderation to the legislature; to bring bipartisanship and to get the focus back on the real business of the legislature, including our partnership with public schools.”

“Folks have thought for a long period of time that additional money could be cut out of districts. That’s just not true,” said Ledbetter. “We obsess over the budget. We look for every dime to make sure that we’re operating as narrowly as possible. There’s nothing left to cut. This legislature just cut all day kindergarten. The truth is we are losing our foothold in the world marketplace. We’re asking teachers every day to do more and more with less.”

“I agree with everything Tom has said today,” continued Ledbetter. “We have decided in Arizona that education in the public sector is a local issue. The legislature has put us in that position. So people are paying more for their property tax for education. We filled in the gaps with the penny tax. That tax is on the ballot again. Ironically, its opponents have raised $750,000 to oppose that initiative. It has to pass again. At the end of the day, it’s time to fund education with our future in mind.”

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Tom Chabin and Jim Ledbetter Interview — Podcast October 15, 2012


The Shocking State of Arizona’s Education Funding: Who’s Responsible For It, and What Does It Mean For Our Kids’ Future? Democratic Perspective co-hosts Mike Cosentino and Steve Williamson talk with Tom Chabin, Arizona State Representative, and Democratic Candidate for the Arizona State Senate from District 6, and Jim Ledbetter, Verde Valley Attorney and President of the Mingus Union High School District Governing Board, about the effect of the shortfall caused by the State Legislature’s $3,000,000,000 in cuts to the state education budget. How did it happen, what does it mean for our kids’ and our state’s future, and what we can do about it?

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A Conversation With The LD6 Jobs Team.

Many politicians promise to create jobs and improve education if elected. But LD6 candidates Angela LeFevre and Doug Ballard actually have the experience and expertise to actually deliver on their promises.

Democratic Perspective recently had the opportunity to interview both of them. Angela is a former teacher, small business owner and executive with a Fortune 500 company. Doug is the former Director of Planning and Economic Development for the City of Chandler responsible for bringing Intel Corporation to Arizona. Although they are running as Democrats, both have been endorsed by former State Senator Tom O’Halleran, a Republican.

Indeed, if elected, the Jobs Team would be the first legislative representatives to represent the Verde Valley and Sedona since O’Halleran.

The Jobs Team is running against Brenda Barton, who sponsored a bill to declare state sovereignty over all federal lands in Arizona, and Robert Thorpe who has been endorsed by the Tea Party.

We began by asking what politicians can do to bring jobs to Arizona. LeFevre responded, “What our State Legislature has not done is to put together a budget that would actually help bring jobs here. What they’ve done is that they have decided to increase the number of loopholes that are given to corporations so our revenue is going to be impacted tremendously by 2014. Instead of that, the idea is to make it more attractive for companies to come here. The big answer is to offer an educated workforce.”

Ballard added, “I agree. I think part of the problem with the Arizona economy is that it follows a boom/bust cycle. There are some immediate things we can do. For example, the state lets out millions and millions of dollars of contracts every year, often times to out of state companies. But we should be giving Arizona companies, and companies that hire Arizona people preference when we’re awarding state contracts. That’s a quick and easy thing to do. It will have immediate results and, frankly, it will have a payback to the state in terms of revenue in terms of income tax or sales tax for material that these local corporations and businesses purchase.”

Turning to one of Arizona’s largest industries, we asked what can be done to increase economic development through tourism. LeFevre replied, “The office of Tourism has been cut dramatically by the State Legislature. We need to attract tourism here…not just from the country but from the world. And we can do this in a sensible, real way where we can work with the Chambers [of Commerce]; we can work with those organizations that bring tourists here. That means jobs. That means an expanding economy. We can do it sensibly by protecting our environment at the same time; working with the forest services.”

“Doug and I have been amazed at our opponents’ approach to this,” she continued. “Instead of this, they want to go the other way. They say the state knows best, let the state take over the lands. Proposition 120 is asking for sovereignty over national lands. That means the Grand Canyon. That means the red rocks of Sedona. That means all the beautiful national parks and open spaces that we have. Our opponents say they can manage them better. These are the people who could not keep our state parks open. These are the people who almost locked up Red Rock State Park and so many of our other parks.”

Ballard added, “It’s an ideologically-driven agenda. It was a bill that Gov. Brewer vetoed because it undos our articles of statehood. Of course, our opponents talk about secession and talk about withdrawing their consent, of being at war with the United States, and all this kind of stuff. We’re talking about a state that hasn’t demonstrated the ability to manage its own lands. They sold our state capitol for crying out loud. Our opponents continually and publicly advocate the sale of public lands, and what one of them has said is that we need to be more like eastern states that don’t have public lands. That strikes, not only at the very heart of our quality of life here in Arizona, but it’s a fundamental economic issue. We have a $16 billion a year tourism industry in this state, and people are coming – not to go to downtown Phoenix – they are coming to see the natural wonders that are the legacy of Teddy Roosevelt and others. To mess with that on ideological grounds is the height of irresponsibility.”

With regard to Proposition 120, Lefevre stated, “There are some fallacies I want to correct. The federal government did not cause the wildfires. Wildfires are caused, unfortunately, by storms or by people who are not being careful. What our opponents want to do is to use state resources and local resources to put those fires out. There is no way that wildfires could be managed by the state. Federal help is required.”

When asked about the status of education in Arizona, Ballard said, “The legislature has cut $3 billion from education since 2009. We’ve lost 7,000 teachers. While test scores for other states are going up, our test scores are either just barely treading water or are starting to trend downward. We have no economic future if we can’t turn that around. Yet the legislature spends countless dollars on prisons, making us the largest spender in the country per capita on prisons.”

The Jobs Team was also asked to discuss the connection between education and economic development, about Proposition 204 which would extend the one percent sales tax and dedicate it to education, about Kids Care and more.

You can listen to a recording of the entire interview on this website.

Posted in Arizona Budget, Arizona Politics, Corrections Policy, Economic Policy, Education, Environment, Fiscal Policy, Government, Interviews, Jobs and Employment | Tagged , , , , | Comments Off on A Conversation With The LD6 Jobs Team.