Singal Interview – Podcast February 4, 2024

The Professor Gazes Into His Electoral Crystal Ball Once Again. Steve Williamson and Karen McClelland welcome Dan Singal back to the show to discuss the upcoming elections. Singal is an author and Emeritus Professor of History at Hobart and William Smith Colleges.

Asked about the prospects of a Biden-Trump rematch in the upcoming election, Singal says, “Well, if there was a major conviction in one of the [Trump] trials before the convention, then it’s possible it could derail things. But I don’t expect that to happen and I’m not sure that it would be that big a factor even if it did. I think they would still choose him.”

“I think he [Trump] could go out and shoot someone in the street on Fifth Avenue. I think he could do that and probably the courts would take ten years before they got around to it and he would be acquitted,” Singal explains. “Although I do think the indictments and a trial…during the period of the general election campaign, that could have some bearing.”

On previous shows Singal accurately predicted the outcome of the 2020 presidential election and the 2022 mid-term elections in which he said Republicans would take the House by a narrow margin and that Democrats would hold onto the Senate. In 2022, Singal also predicted that Biden would be re-elected in 2024. And he’s sticking with that prediction. “I think that’s where we’re headed,” he says.

To support his prediction, Singal points to the economy, noting that gas prices have come down as oil supplies have gone up, inflation has come down to 1.7 percent – lower than the Fed’s goal of 2 percent – and unemployment is near a 50-year low of just 3.7 percent.

“I would say that he is our best president since World War II,” Singal says of Biden.

Additionally, Singal expects Democrats will retake the House this year and hold onto control of the Senate.

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